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During the heavy economic news week of September 17, the 10-year Treasury yield jumped seventeen basis points, ending the week at 4.63%.
MondayNew York manufacturing missed estimates. 10TSY close: 4.47%
TuesdayThe FOMC lowered the Fed Funds Target Rate by 50 basis points. Energy prices pulled producer prices down significantly; core prices rose. 10TSY close: 4.48%
WednesdayAs with producer prices, consumer prices slid overall, but core prices rose. Housing Starts slipped. 10TSY close: 4.52%
ThursdayJobless Claims dropped slightly. Leading Indicators declined unexpectedly, but Philadelphia manufacturing soared. 10TSY close: 4.67%
FridayNo economic data was released. 10TSY close: 4.63%


Jobless Claims Down, Economy Picks Up – Housing Drags Yields


Jobless Claims Drop
First-time Jobless Claims fell last week, contrary to what most analysts had expected. It was the lowest reading for initial claims in four months. The four-week moving average fell 9,750 to 311,500, easing some concerns about the job market.
Economy Perks Up
The final second quarter GDP results showed a rather quick 3.8% annual growth rate for the economy. Though less than the previous estimate of 4%, the revision represents a significant upside indicator for economic conditions. Changes to imports were primarily responsible for the downward revision to GDP.
New Home Sales Fall
Thursday’s report on New Home Sales reflected an 8.3% drop in purchases to an annual rate of 795,000 homes It is the largest decline since 1970 and the lowest level in seven years. While much of the economy looks healthy, housing remains a drag, and analysts do not expect to see recovery soon.
Five-Year Auction Draws Strong Demand – Yields Slip
Thursday’s five-year Treasury auction drew solid demand, lifting prices and lowering yields. Some had been concerned that worldwide demand for US debt had softened. The auction results, combined with overall soft sentiment about the economy, pushed MBS and Treasury prices higher, taking yields down. By the end of trading, the 10-year Treasury yield was down to 4.57%.
The next release will be Personal Income and Spending and Core PCE at 8:30 Eastern on Friday.

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